Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.034594 0.040592 0.046811 0.053704 0.061093 0.068746 0.077239
2025-11-02 0.025475 0.034097 0.043597 0.054665 0.067049 0.080344 0.095569
2025-11-09 0.019126 0.029083 0.040684 0.054775 0.071069 0.089024 0.110033
2025-11-16 0.013591 0.023900 0.036649 0.052780 0.072007 0.093680 0.119500
2025-11-23 0.009532 0.019754 0.033218 0.050938 0.072647 0.097602 0.127786
2025-11-30 0.007438 0.017838 0.032277 0.051862 0.076336 0.104861 0.139717
2025-12-07 0.005916 0.016440 0.031798 0.053191 0.080379 0.112426 0.151914
2025-12-14 0.004921 0.015665 0.032037 0.055341 0.085351 0.121035 0.165278
2025-12-21 0.003770 0.014344 0.031339 0.056142 0.088557 0.127468 0.176040
2025-12-28 0.003637 0.014896 0.033372 0.060590 0.096351 0.139425 0.193321
2026-01-04 0.002334 0.012733 0.031132 0.059106 0.096517 0.142078 0.199526
2026-01-11 0.001732 0.011864 0.030781 0.060146 0.099860 0.148557 0.210248
2026-01-18 0.001085 0.010619 0.029791 0.060357 0.102272 0.154099 0.220126
2026-01-25 0.000687 0.009817 0.029463 0.061488 0.105902 0.161181 0.231920
2026-02-01 0.000327 0.008728 0.028504 0.061625 0.108167 0.166538 0.241611
2026-02-08 0.000044 0.007004 0.026136 0.059506 0.107296 0.167879 0.246346
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005541 0.023981 0.057545 0.106525 0.169263 0.251065
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005064 0.023753 0.058530 0.109755 0.175699 0.261959
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004742 0.023813 0.059945 0.113567 0.182872 0.273756
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004668 0.024418 0.062233 0.118590 0.191597 0.287472
2026-03-15 NaN 0.004248 0.024154 0.063084 0.121593 0.197720 0.297970
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004790 0.026243 0.067807 0.130044 0.210867 0.317172
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003825 0.024536 0.066232 0.129605 0.212541 0.322151